Page 5 - The Indian EYE 103026
P. 5

COVER STORY                                                          OCTOBER 30, 2026      |  The Indian Eye                    5



        tional reality? Are there indications of                                                              leaders to address disputes without al-
        a sustained deployment beyond what                                                                    lowing every incident to become a test
        would normally be expected?                                                                           of national resolve.
            Answers to such questions would                                                                       India must also continue strength-
        provide a firmer basis for judging the                                                                ening its ability to monitor the border
        seriousness of the reported face-offs                                                                 and respond to changes in Chinese ac-
        than broad references to China’s mil-                                                                 tivity. Improvements in infrastructure,
        itary strength. India, for its part, must                                                             surveillance,  logistics  and  coordina-
        maintain adequate surveillance, in-                                                                   tion can reduce the risk that difficult
        frastructure, logistics and readiness                                                                 terrain or slow communication leaves
        along the LAC. The difficult terrain                                                                  Indian forces at a disadvantage. Such
        of the eastern sector makes these re-                                                                 measures are necessary regardless of
        quirements particularly important.                                                                    whether the latest reports prove to be
        Preparedness is not evidence that a                                                                   an isolated episode or part of a wider
        conflict is inevitable; it is a means of                                                              pattern.
        reducing vulnerability and ensuring                                                                       The government’s communica-
        that local incidents do not develop                                                                   tion strategy is equally important. Ex-
        into larger crises.                 The Indian Army has made its presence stronger in the border region ( Agency file photo)   cessive disclosure could compromise
            The PLA’s capabilities make it                                                                    operational security, but silence or
        necessary for India to remain alert.   ties and national security.  clarify the handling of disputed areas   general assurances can leave room for
        They do not, on their own, settle the     The road ahead            and prevent either side from using   speculation and political confronta-
        question of what China intends to do                                ambiguity to change conditions on the   tion. A credible middle course would
        in Arunachal Pradesh.                ndia and China have continued to   ground.                       be  to  provide  verifiable  information
              Opposition questions           use diplomatic and military chan-  For India, the objective is not sim-  about the broad situation while with-
                  government              Inels to manage their border dis-  ply to avoid a clash. It is to preserve its   holding details that could expose mili-
                                          pute. The 25th round of talks between   territorial claims, maintain the ability   tary vulnerabilities.
              ongress president Mallikarjun   the two countries’ Special Represen-  of its troops to operate in accordance   The Opposition, meanwhile, has
              Kharge has raised questions   tatives, held in Beijing on August 25,   with established arrangements and   a responsibility to ground its criticism
        Cabout the border situation,      reaffirmed  the  importance  of  peace   ensure  that  diplomatic  engagement   in evidence and distinguish between
        including whether Indian forces have   and stability along the border and the   does not come at the cost of security.  questions that need answers and
        lost access to patrolling areas and why   mechanisms available to manage dif-  For China, continued military   claims that have been established.
        the public has not received fuller in-  ferences.                   activity  along the  LAC  may  serve   Scrutiny is most effective when it
        formation about developments. He      Such  talks  are  significant  be-  several purposes, including maintain-  identifies specific gaps in the govern-
        has also questioned what tangible   cause the dispute cannot be resolved   ing a presence in disputed areas and   ment’s account rather than treating
        results have emerged from the dip-  through military deployments  alone.   demonstrating that Beijing will not   every report of friction as proof of a
        lomatic engagement between Prime   Political dialogue is necessary to pre-  abandon its territorial claims. Yet the   wider strategic failure.
        Minister Narendra Modi and Chinese   vent local disagreements from under-  same activity carries risks. A patrol   The available information points
        President Xi Jinping, as well as other   mining  the  wider  relationship,  while   encounter can escalate, trigger politi-  to a continuing border problem that
        rounds of talks.                  military communication can help en-  cal pressure and undermine the diplo-  demands vigilance, but it does not
            Kharge’s argument draws on the   sure that encounters between patrols   matic channels that both sides need to   conclusively establish that the PLA is
        distinction between diplomatic con-  do not spiral into a crisis.   manage their rivalry.             preparing for a major confrontation
        tact and conditions on the ground.    But the effectiveness  of  these   The two countries therefore have   in Arunachal Pradesh. China’s mili-
        Meetings between leaders may help   mechanisms must ultimately be   an interest in preventing local inci-  tary capabilities are substantial, and
        reduce tensions and establish political   judged by their results. Statements re-  dents from turning into broader con-  the potential consequences of mis-
        channels, but their value ultimately   affirming peace are useful only if they   frontations. That requires clear com-  calculation are serious. Yet neither
        depends on whether they contribute   are accompanied by arrangements   munication, restraint by troops on the   military strength nor recurring patrol
        to stability, preserve existing arrange-  that reduce the risk of confrontation,   ground and a willingness by political   friction, taken alone, proves an inten-
        ments and prevent unilateral changes                                                                  tion to escalate.
        along the border.                                                                                         The crucial test is whether the
            The Opposition’s demand for                                                                       reported encounters have changed
        clarity also reflects the political sensi-                                                            conditions on the ground and wheth-
        tivity of the border issue. The govern-                                                               er India and China can manage them
        ment has repeatedly presented its ap-                                                                 without compromising their respec-
        proach to China as a combination of                                                                   tive positions. The government must
        military preparedness and diplomatic                                                                  explain what it can, the military must
        engagement. When fresh reports of                                                                     remain prepared, and diplomatic
        friction emerge, it faces questions                                                                   channels must deliver more than reas-
        about whether that approach is deliv-                                                                 suring statements.
        ering the intended results.                                                                               The question is not whether India
            These interventions reflect differ-                                                               should be concerned about the PLA. It
        ent  aspects  of  the  Opposition’s  crit-                                                            should. The question is whether the lat-
        icism.  One  concerns  the  immediate                                                                 est incidents indicate a material deteri-
        military situation and whether Indian                                                                 oration in the security situation — and
        troops retain access to areas they pre-                                                               whether the government can demon-
        viously patrolled. Another concerns                                                                   strate that it is responding effectively.
        the government’s wider China policy,   The Chinese PLA remains the world’s biggest army despite the cutting down of number of   That judgement requires evidence,
        including the relationship between                  soldiers in recent years (Agency file photo)      not alarmism, and transparency with-
        diplomatic  engagement,  economic                                                                     out compromising national security.


                                                               www.TheIndianEYE.com
   1   2   3   4   5   6   7   8   9   10